Question
called invesime
deviation of
decision
ns or losses). The gre
ulcomes, the vreater I he uncertainty
ision maker; the smaller the variation
stial outcomes, the more predictable the decision
aker's gains or losses. The two discrete probability dis
tributions given in the next table were developed from
historical data. They describe the potential total physical
*damage losses next year to the fleets of delivery trucks
of two different firms.
Firm A
Loss Next Year
Probability
§
0
500
01
01
1,000
01
1,500
2,000
2,500
29
3,000
.25
3,500
4,000
.02
4.500
01
01
5,000
01
Firm B
Loss Next Year
0
200
700
1.200
1,700
2.200
2,700
3.200
3,700
4.200
4,700
Probability
00
01
879948
.02
01
a. Verity that both firms have the same expected total
physical damage loss
h. Compute the standard deviation of each prob-
ability distribution and determine which firm faces
the greater risk of physical damage to its fleet next
ycar,
Answer
Both firms have the same expected total physical damage loss. Firm A has a standard deviation of 1,845.45 and Firm B has a standard deviation of 1,072.45, so Firm A faces the greater risk of physical damage to its fleet next year.